Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.172833 0.203976 0.238813 0.280628 0.329414 0.384495 0.451365
2025-08-31 0.121968 0.160605 0.208454 0.271895 0.353629 0.455203 0.590832
2025-09-07 0.097759 0.139647 0.195574 0.275356 0.385852 0.533045 0.743520
2025-09-14 0.080759 0.123434 0.184072 0.275943 0.410938 0.601222 0.888829
2025-09-21 0.067127 0.108899 0.171592 0.271714 0.426609 0.655895 1.019439
2025-09-28 0.057291 0.098077 0.162376 0.270026 0.444398 0.713983 1.159918
2025-10-05 0.052507 0.094326 0.163219 0.283513 0.486473 0.812552 1.372458
2025-10-12 0.049201 0.092405 0.166515 0.301004 0.536527 0.928397 1.624474
2025-10-19 0.044885 0.087964 0.164770 0.309364 0.571696 1.022865 1.850338
2025-10-26 0.040036 0.081756 0.158963 0.309537 0.592138 1.093796 2.042382
2025-11-02 0.034680 0.073736 0.148700 0.300029 0.593578 1.130932 2.177502
2025-11-09 0.029505 0.065272 0.136417 0.284963 0.582527 1.143739 2.268551
2025-11-16 0.026460 0.060963 0.132150 0.285980 0.604374 1.223327 2.500369
2025-11-23 0.022852 0.054896 0.123532 0.277157 0.605903 1.264953 2.665308
2025-11-30 0.020803 0.051948 0.121011 0.280689 0.633030 1.359613 2.945609
2025-12-07 0.018786 0.048725 0.117403 0.281287 0.653852 1.443464 3.212538
2025-12-14 0.016688 0.044944 0.111969 0.276979 0.663278 1.504305 3.437312
2025-12-21 0.015021 0.041949 0.107916 0.275260 0.678184 1.578216 3.697807
2025-12-28 0.014425 0.041625 0.110224 0.288997 0.730424 1.739381 4.167733
2026-01-04 0.014068 0.041883 0.114000 0.306813 0.794412 1.933390 4.731549
2026-01-11 0.013258 0.040754 0.114085 0.315327 0.836758 2.081932 5.205326
2026-01-18 0.012144 0.038570 0.111104 0.315503 0.858329 2.183858 5.579482
2026-01-25 0.010747 0.035304 0.104738 0.305819 0.853521 2.221923 5.803649